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CC BY V4.0, Open Access
Journal article
Effects of demand-side restrictions on high-deforestation palm oil in Europe on deforestation and emissions in Indonesia
Environmental research letters, Vol.17(1), p.14035
01/01/2022
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/2376/118506
Appears in Aviation Sustainability Center (ASCENT)
Abstract
Demand-side restrictions on high-deforestation commodities are expanding as a climate policy, but their impact on reducing tropical deforestation and emissions has yet to be quantified. Here we model the effects of demand-side restrictions on high-deforestation palm oil in Europe on deforestation and emissions in Indonesia. We do so by integrating a model of global trade with a spatially explicit model of land-use change in Indonesia. We estimate a European ban on high-deforestation palm oil from 2000 to 2015 would have led to a 8.9% global price premium on low-deforestation palm oil, resulting in 21 374 ha yr(-1) (1.60%) less deforestation and 21.1 million tCO(2) yr(-1) (1.91%) less emissions from deforestation in Indonesia relative to what occurred. A hypothetical Indonesia-wide carbon price would have achieved equivalent emission reductions at $0.81/tCO(2). Impacts of a ban are small because: 52% of Europe's imports of high-deforestation palm oil would have shifted to non-participating countries; the price elasticity of supply of high-deforestation oil palm cropland is small (0.13); and conversion to oil palm was responsible for only 32% of deforestation in Indonesia. If demand-side restrictions succeed in substantially reducing deforestation, it is likely to be through non-price pathways.
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Details
- Title
- Effects of demand-side restrictions on high-deforestation palm oil in Europe on deforestation and emissions in Indonesia
- Creators
- Jonah Busch - Conservat Int, Arlington, VA 22202 USAOyut Amarjargal - Earth Innovat Inst, San Francisco, CA USAFarzad Taheripour - Agricultural & Applied Economics AssociationKemen G. Austin - RTI Int, Res Triangle Pk, NC USARizki Nauli Siregar - Johannes Gutenberg Univ Mainz, Mainz, GermanyKellee Koenig - Conservat Int, Arlington, VA 22202 USAThomas W. Hertel - Purdue Univ, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
- Publication Details
- Environmental research letters, Vol.17(1), p.14035
- Academic Unit
- Aviation Sustainability Center (ASCENT); Alternative Jet Fuel
- Publisher
- IOP Publishing Ltd
- Number of pages
- 12
- Grants
- 13-C-AJFF-PU-29, Federal Aviation Administration (United States, Washington) - FAA13-C-AJFF-PU-36, Federal Aviation Administration (United States, Washington) - FAA
- Grant note
- National Biodiesel Board FAA Center of Excellence for Alternative Jet Fuels and the Environment Ann and Tom Friedman Fellows for Science program CBET-1855937; SES-1463644; OISE-2020635; DEB-1924111 / National Science Foundation; National Science Foundation (NSF) Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation IND01053G2 / U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Institute of Food and Agriculture; United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) U.S. Federal Aviation Administration Office of Environment and Energy through ASCENT
- Identifiers
- 99900898132701842
- Language
- English
- Resource Type
- Journal article