Journal article
Modeling the 2016–2017 Yemen cholera outbreak with the impact of limited medical resources
Journal of theoretical biology, Vol.451, pp.80-85
08/14/2018
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/2376/106247
PMID: 29727633
Abstract
•A new mathematical model for cholera epidemics.•Incorporation of the impact of medical resources into cholera modeling.•An emphasis on the heterogeneous pattern of disease prevalence and severity.•Understanding of the Yemen cholera outbreak from the perspectives of mathematical modeling and data fitting.
We present a mathematical model to investigate the transmission dynamics of the 2016–2017 Yemen cholera outbreak. Our model describes the interaction between the human hosts and the pathogenic bacteria, under the impact of limited medical resources. We fit our model to Yemen epidemic data published by the World Health Organization, at both the country and regional levels. We find that the Yemen cholera outbreak is shaped by the interplay of environmental, socioeconomic, and climatic factors. Our results suggest that improvement of the public health system and strategic implementation of control measures with respect to time and location are key to future cholera prevention and intervention in Yemen.
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Details
- Title
- Modeling the 2016–2017 Yemen cholera outbreak with the impact of limited medical resources
- Creators
- Daihai He - Department of Applied Mathematics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Kowloon, Hung Hom, Hong Kong SAR, ChinaXueying Wang - Department of Mathematics, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, 99164, USADaozhou Gao - College of Mathematics and Sciences, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai, 200234, ChinaJin Wang - Department of Mathematics, University of Tennessee at Chattanooga, Chattanooga, TN, 37403, USA
- Publication Details
- Journal of theoretical biology, Vol.451, pp.80-85
- Academic Unit
- Mathematics and Statistics, Department of
- Publisher
- Elsevier Ltd
- Identifiers
- 99900546831901842
- Language
- English
- Resource Type
- Journal article