Modeling environmental change: Scenarios in the Washington water supply and demand forecast

Elizabeth Allen; Sonia A. Hall; Jennifer C. Adam; Michael P. Brady; Michael E. Barber; Claudio O. Stockle; Muhammad Barik; Georgine Yorgey; Kirti Rajagopalan; Chad E. Kruger

Modeling environmental change: Scenarios in the Washington water supply and demand forecast

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Modeling environmental change: Scenarios in the Washington water supply and demand forecast

Elizabeth Allen, Sonia A. Hall, Jennifer C. Adam, Michael P. Brady, Michael E. Barber, Claudio O. Stockle, Muhammad Barik, Georgine Yorgey, Kirti Rajagopalan and Chad E. Kruger

Fact sheet (Washington State University. Cooperative Extension), 327E, Washington State University Extension

09/2019

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https://hdl.handle.net/2376/16679

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Abstract

Water-supply -- Effect of global warming on.

Global environmental change -- Computer simulation.

Global environmental change -- Mathematical models.

Earth sciences -- Washington (State) -- Computer simulation.

Earth sciences -- Washington (State) -- Mathematical models.

This publication introduces policy makers and natural resource managers to the use of scenarios in environmental modeling. Managers increasingly recognize that the climate is changing and that those changes pose a threat that must be understood in more detail and incorporated into planning decisions at all scales. High quality information about likely environmental change impacts is critically important to help decision-makers address risks in an adaptive manner. To provide concrete examples of the types of scenarios that may be considered in making management decisions, we draw from the 2016 Columbia River Basin Long-Term Water Supply and Demand Forecast, which the Washington Department of Ecology publishes every five years to assist stakeholders in planning for future water resource conditions. There are many different approaches to developing and testing scenarios to inform decision-making. When decision-makers understand how scenarios are developed and how models are run, they can better use model outputs to inform their management decisions.

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Title: Modeling environmental change
Creators: Elizabeth Allen (Author)
Sonia A. Hall (Author)
Jennifer C. Adam (Author)
Michael P. Brady (Author)
Michael E. Barber (Author)
Claudio O. Stockle (Author)
Muhammad Barik (Author)
Georgine Yorgey (Author)
Kirti Rajagopalan (Author)
Chad E. Kruger (Author)
Academic Unit: Center for Sustaining Agriculture and Natural Resources; Publications, WSU Extension
Series: Fact sheet (Washington State University. Cooperative Extension); 327E
Publisher: Washington State University Extension; Pullman, Washington
Identifiers: 99900502421901842
Copyright: Copyright Not Evaluated ; openAccess ; http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/CNE/1.0/ ; http://purl.org/eprint/accessRights/OpenAccess
Language: English
Resource Type: Report